Wednesday 6 December 2023

The Machine Age Skidelsky

 

Age Against the Machine

by Robert Skidelsky

Humans have always had a fractured relationship with machines. A tool is an extension of muscles, always under the control of the individual. Tools can never replace humans in the job market: a row of tools can't make a car. But machines can make things on their own, and therein lies their promise and threat: the promise, of multiplied productive power-versus the threat of human redundancy. This has been so ever since the Industrial Revolution. And the story is not yet finished.

My new book, The Machine Age,: An Idea, a History, a Warning, tells three stories, each with a happy or unhappy ending. The first is the one just introduced. Machines increase productivity — output per input of energy - promising a return to Paradise where, "neither Adam nor Eve span".

But what about the redundancies which would follow machines taking over human tasks? The factory would be filled not by inert tools but by busy robots, - and soon offices and retail shops would resound to their whirring. What would be left for humans to do if practically all their tasks could be automated? And who would pay their wages?

The technological enthusiasts respond by urging us to think of machines complementing human performance, not replacing it. In 1997, the IBM computer Deep Blue beat the world chess champion Garry Kasparov over six games of chess. If a machine could beat the best human in a game as mentally demanding as chess, what future could humans look forward to, other than one of growing unemployment? But it then turned out that computers plus humans could beat humans or computers on their own, so computers would not replace humans but enhance them! The threat of redundancy was lifted, and so far, at least technological unemployment is minimal.

A more sinister possibility is opened up by the spread of surveillance technology. The promise of shedding a light into dark places, dating from Plato's famous allegory of the cave, was visualised in Jeremy Bentham's famous design for a Panopticon in 1786. This was an ideal prison system, in which a central watch tower could shine a bright light into all the surrounding cells without the prisoners being aware of being watched. This would reduce the need for prison guards, since the prisoners, aware of being continually surveilled, would police themselves. Why should not schools, hospitals, workplaces, streets — all of society — be run on these lines? The idea of building an ideal society based on a prison was made flesh in both Nazi Germany and Communist Russia. These 'utopias' failed, but Bentham's hopes lire on.

Today's technology offers a power of surveillance only dreamt of by the most powerful autocrat in the past. It operates not through searchlights but through digital tracking and recognition systems into which we are all slotted, willingly or not, through our dependence on computers for everyday services like shopping and banking.

Just think — no more need for guessing what you might be up to: every desire would be anticipated by Big Seller, every potential mischief nipped in the bud by Big Brother. And all this is happening now. Every day improved surveillance devices are being rolled out and installed to ensure the consumer and political behaviour desired by a commercial platform or a state. China leads the way, but the surveillance society is catching up everywhere.

But there is a third possible story even more dreadful than the first-two. This involves not unemployment nor zombiedom, but physical extinction. Our planet has always been threatened by natural disasters — the dinosaurs were probably extinguished 60 million years ago by an asteroid hitting the earth. Now we can create machine made disasters. In 1947, two years after atomic bombs were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, leading scientists created a Doomsday Clock to monitor= threats to humanity from unchecked scientific and technological advances. The clock was set ticking at seven minutes to countdown in 1947. In January 2020 it was set at 100 seconds, its closest ever to countdown; in January 2023, following outbreak of war in Ukraine, it was reduced to 90.'Again, we see a vastly increased saving power intertwined with a vastly enhanced destructive power.

Most of us have heard of the Luddites, the handloom weavers who in 1811 started smashing the power looms being installed in factories. The most famous English economist of the day, David Ricardo, wrote, "the substitution of machinery for human labour is often very injurious to the interests of the labourers". Before we allow machines to take over our future, for better or worse, we must have a long pause for reflection, though I doubt we will get it.

    Robert Skidelsky's latest book, The Machine AgeAn Idea, a History, a Warning

COMMENT: The Luddites are noted for attacking the machines, whereas, on the contrary, they were defending a way of life that allowed them to live in communities that took account of the needs of the soils, plants, animals and humans, and the world of nature a s a whole. The task ahead is to account the demands our own individual households are making on the living planet, and bring an end to the wages system. Food for thought? Read more in future Blogs.


Saturday 2 December 2023

A Civilization of Technics Part 3

A Civilization of Technicsi

Philip Mairet (1945) Part 3

The present convulsions of civilization are both a manifestation of this degradation and a violent effort to arrest it. The programmes of the warring parties, Communist, Nazi, Fascist, and Democratic, are all com­plex mixtures of ideas, some of which threaten to intensify the predica­ment of power-economy whilst others propose its alleviation, for all men are horrified at the problems into which unrestricted machine-power is leading them. While the whole world is beating tractors into tanks, some rueful voices are also being raised to ask whether the entire direction of technological progress may not have to be reversed. In the January 1942 number of Harper's Magazine, for instance, a learned contributor hails the present struggle as the beginning of the ' Anti-Industrial-Revolution', and prophesies that the strict limitation of technics must be its final out­come—a pronouncement especially remarkable in the United States, where applied technology has reached its apotheosis. Yet there can be no merely negative solution, nor is the issue susceptible of compromise. The exploitation of solar energy must either be justified at the altar of man's supreme aspirations, or else it will continue to operate as a curse on the human race.

Before attempting to say what we should hope and work for, let us con­sider what is likely to occur. The only positive solution at present envisaged by very many people is, as we have seen, that a Civilization of Technics should set before itself this single aim—the distribution of the maximum of wealth and well-being to all. We may expect that, after the war, there will be a thoroughgoing attempt to realize this aim through planning upon a continental if not planetary scale—that is, unless the war leaves people too discouraged to give any serious effort to recovery, as the Civil War has left the people of Spain: but this is unlikely to be the uni­versal condition, and if large blocs of population are afflicted with inertia, it may only facilitate the plans of those who still feel vigour enough to take initiative. From this aim, however, great success is not to be expected, for reasons indicated earlier in this essay. The effort is to be welcomed because it is positive, and it would seem to lie in the natural line of development. It is for instance in harmony with important changes now proceeding in the political mentality of society.

The people who will wield the greatest powers in the society of the near future will be—apart from military leaders and their experts—the tech­nological elite. Those who have hitherto ruled the world that is now going up in flames have been people of specialized mentality, expert in accoun­tancy and financial politics, organized in rather unstable groups which were continually engaged in surreptitious dynastic wars, fighting one another by manipulating stock markets, cornering supplies and altering prices—wars in which the victories were signalized by mergers and com­bines and the defeats by liquidations. In the present world war there can be little doubt that these financial dynasties are being weakened if not destroyed.

At present the financial dynasts are being compelled to give a last exhibition of their abilities by helping the Governments at war to co­ordinate all productive industry in the national interests; but in doing so they must destroy the roots of their own power. The question is, who will succeed them? Militant politicians will be very powerful, presumably, but modern war is the greatest of industrial undertakings, and the dominant class of men in a modern war state must be the technicians, whose power is bound to continue into the peace, in order to fulfil the growing demand for planned economy and wealth-distribution. We are in for technocracy.

The ground has been well prepared for this palace revolution, by the decline of the power of ownership. Industries, and even the largest com­bines, may still be nominally ruled by their shareholders as titular owners, but for a long while past this ownership has been in no real sense a directive function. Management has become more and more a profession in itself, the managers being the highest class of technicians, and they commonly appoint their own successors. This is undoubtedly the rising class throughout the Civilization of Technics, whose abilities, aims, and ideas have done most to shape the development of the modern world. It is a small class, and one can only get into it by technical knowledge and ability of a high order; but so far its direct political and social control has been small. The political influence of industrial concerns has been exer­cised by the financial class, which overlaps the technical only to a small extent. Now the financial class, considered as a political aristocracy, is out of public favour. It has conspicuously failed to lead a technological civiliza­tion either to plenty or stability; and its relations with the technicians have for some time been hostile. Civil engineers, scientists, and experts in productive organization have been the leaders in the contemporary revolt of opinion against the financial system as such—and therefore against the prestige of the financial class. The issue between them has always been that between full production and ' artificial scarcity'; the financiers having habitually imposed limits upon production in order to fit their financial frame, whereas the technicians work for the abolition of all financial constraints, and for the complete liberation of industry to fill the world with its products.

The people who will wield the greatest powers in the society of the near future will be—apart from military leaders and their experts—the tech­nological elite. Those who have hitherto ruled the world that is now going up in flames have been people of specialized mentality, expert in accoun­tancy and financial politics, organized in rather unstable groups which were continually engaged in surreptitious dynastic wars, fighting one another by manipulating stock markets, cornering supplies and altering prices—wars in which the victories were signalized by mergers and com­bines and the defeats by liquidations. In the present world war there can be little doubt that these financial dynasties are being weakened if not destroyed.

At present the financial dynasts are being compelled to give a last exhibition of their abilities by helping the Governments at war to co­ordinate all productive industry in the national interests; but in doing so they must destroy the roots of their own power. The question is, who will succeed them? Militant politicians will be very powerful, presumably, but modern war is the greatest of industrial undertakings, and the dominant class of men in a modern war state must be the technicians, whose power is bound to continue into the peace, in order to fulfil the growing demand for planned economy and wealth-distribution. We are in for technocracy.

The ground has been well prepared for this palace revolution, by the decline of the power of ownership. Industries, and even the largest com­bines, may still be nominally ruled by their shareholders as titular owners, but for a long while past this ownership has been in no real sense a directive function. Management has become more and more a profession in itself, the managers being the highest class of technicians, and they commonly appoint their own successors. This is undoubtedly the rising class throughout the Civilization of Technics, whose abilities, aims, and ideas have done most to shape the development of the modern world. It is a small class, and one can only get into it by technical knowledge and ability of a high order; but so far its direct political and social control has been small. The political influence of industrial concerns has been exer­cised by the financial class, which overlaps the technical only to a small extent. Now the financial class, considered as a political aristocracy, is out of public favour. It has conspicuously failed to lead a technological civiliza­tion either to plenty or stability; and its relations with the technicians have for some time been hostile. Civil engineers, scientists, and experts in productive organization have been the leaders in the contemporary revolt of opinion against the financial system as such—and therefore against the prestige of the financial class. The issue between them has always been that between full production and ' artificial scarcity'; the financiers having habitually imposed limits upon production in order to fit their financial frame, whereas the technicians work for the abolition of all financial constraints, and for the complete liberation of industry to fill the world with its products.

Is it too much to hope that, from this necessary development, we may see the natural sciences re-assume their proper place and their priority to the technical? If so, there will be a change of mind and mood in which philosophy can once more flourish and religion regain its rightful sway: for there, in religion alone, is the primary and continual source of the cultural spirit, not in technics indeed and also not in Nature. Out of Nature are our societies born, in their technics they die, but through Religion they are regenerated. A re-born society can go on developing ever greater technical powers, so long as it uses, and is not used by them. But when it succumbs to the fascination and the power and pride of tech­nics, it loses not only its sense of the supernatural order, but also its foot­hold upon natural life.

Chapter from Prospect for Christendom: Essays in Catholic Social Reconstruction, Maurice Reckitt (ed), Faber and Faber (1945/6)

COMMENT: As becomes evident on reading the three-part essay entitled A Civilization of Technics, Philip Mairet was a key writer and activist in the network of debates on the social order of the first half of the 20th century. See Wikipedia. He was a familiar figure in the emerging guilds, trade unions, social credit, anthroposophical and cooperative movements of his time, writing key texts across the range of social thinking on philosophy, politics, economics and finance.


i When we speak of a civilization of Technics we mean a social order so shaped and adapted that it can make the fullest use of the solar energy stored up in mineral form as coal or oil, or obtained by distillation from vegetable substances. This last source of energy, though it may increase in importance, is at present too relatively costly to be greatly exploited; much more power is at present obtained from the world's great water-courses. The stimulus and the means which made possible the present phenomenal developments of machinery began with the discovery of the energy that can be obtained from the combustion of coal and oil. 

Friday 1 December 2023

A Civilization of Technics Part 2

 

A Civilization of Technics Part 2

Philip Mairet (1945)

The idea that we should delegate our material production to the gnomes of power-technics, and thus free ourselves for lives of leisure, introduces a serious contradiction if we make the gnomes too clever. It is all right so long as the gnomes are kept to drudge at such work as galley-slaves once had to do. But the distinction between work and leisure can be pushed too far, because as a matter of fact the only thing for man to do with leisure, over and above his needs for relaxation and contemplation, is work of his own choice. To serve God and society by his performance, in the spirit of an artist, by producing something good, or unique, or doing something well or uniquely—this is what every human being ultimately needs and desires, because in the last analysis there is nothing else for him to do. Leisure itself is mainly an added space or margin that is required to give the individual latitude for his full performance. Now, if we are going to produce all the essential services and furniture of life—including houses which, it is now said, are to be mass-produced in sections and assembled, like a compactum bookcase, as many rooms as required—it appears that we shall most of us all the time, or all of us most of the time, be ' unemployed' but provided with means to purchase plenty of gnome-work plus the nutritional standard diet. Most of the theoretical social idealisms of the day appear to be converging towards this ideal, so that it is not quite an idle speculation to consider what we should do with our­selves in such a social milieu; and the first thing that occurs to anyone of any psychological and social experience is that the wealth with which we should be provided would be but little esteemed. Some of us might be tempted to use our plentiful leisure to provide the same things as the gnomes had made for us, and to make them more to our idiosyncratic taste, but this voluntary creative work would also have declined in prestige, as being confessedly 'useless'. There is here the danger of an altogether excessive opposition in thought between what is useful and what is good.

A categorical separation of the two ideas has gone too far, with the increasing mass-production of goods for the masses: already it is noticeable that pride and pleasure in personal property has declined, and that, with all our modern emphasis upon making commodities that are desired, in the sense of being saleable, it has become less and less fashion­able to own them. The homes of the past, often overcrowded with house­hold treasures which it took so much household labour to keep clean, are not perhaps to be held up for example; but there is something very para­doxical in the fact that our present age, with its plethoric productivity, has induced an unexpected disinclination to be bothered with possessions, a reluctance to collect fine books, prints or pictures, to have any furniture worth treasuring as of more than lifelong utility or beauty—often indeed, to have any permanent home in which things can be treasured. All this decline in the valuation of things is due to the fact that the gnome-work really is less valuable. A thing cannot hold more value than has been put into it: we cannot have our cake and eat it: and if we will insist upon developing the skill of the gnomes until they can produce by the million things superficially as good as our own handiwork, or better, we cannot at the same time experience an equal enjoyment in possessing such things— and certainly not in the tedious work of overseeing their making. To all appearances the modern gnome-drivers are the most discontented workers, as a class, that the world has ever seen.

The only cure for this decline of values both in production and con­sumption, would be to restrict the work of the gnomes to relieving human workers of the most purely repetitive and physically laborious tasks; and to set the individual workers as free as possible for independent work in making things or rendering services. We hope that some of the numerous bodies now planning the post-war world will so far work against the stream of current theorizing as to base their plans, not upon standardiza­tion and rationalization, but upon the greatest possible devolution of industry. That would be the only way to incorporate the gnome-work into human civilization without reducing the amount of human happiness too seriously. Such an effort will encounter opposition both from the ignorant and from the interested, and the plea for human happiness will be denounced as immoral. The advocates of State industrialism will endea­vour to invest with an ethical superiority the work of organizing, perfect­ing, and designing work for the machines, by making out that it is far more moral to help to make a million things all alike for a million people than to make one unique thing for one person, or a few things for a few. This popular fallacy is not even a specious one, but its growing acceptance is culturally disastrous. If it is ethically wrong to make one man a means to the ends of another, to make him the mere instrument of a multitude is just as bad. The social ideal is that every man's work should be an impor­tant part of his own fulfilment, and not the price exacted for it. Every culture which is genuine is occupied not so much with adapting right means to right ends, as in seeking to identify ends and means, for in the perfect civilization, as in Nature, every function would be performed not only as a means and a service to the whole life of the society, but as being in its own degree a manifestation of the very purpose which life itself is seeking.

In the opinion of many good observers—not only of the aestheticians, whose testimony on this point is not to be ignored—this lack of value in the work done is the crucial problem in our civilization. An employer of industrial labour, of long experience and good insight into the minds of workers, tells the present writer that, in his opinion, the dislike of the average man for machine-minding—or shall we say his inability to like it —is so complete that, if it is not cured, it will bring the civilization of technics to a breakdown. Satisfaction cannot be injected by any kind of Stakhanovism: that is a sort of heroics, which makes a bravado of the activity desired, and in rewarding with money and publicity those who drive their machines hardest, it really directs attention to the singular tedium that has to be borne. The political promise that, after the revolu­tion, or after the war, or after the five-year-plan, the workers shall enjoy all the proceeds of the conveyor-belts, is effective enough as a moralistic suggestion, but obviously it does not meet the difficulty at all. The citizen is not going to be satisfied as an individual with a life of movements dic­tated by machinery, simply because the collectivity has a higher standard of life: rather the contrary; the idea that production is easy and that there is anyhow plenty of it, will make him try to get out of the factory and into a more worth-while occupation.

The one thing that might keep the mass of workers cheerfully going through the motions dictated by automata would be a faith or a conviction that such behaviour was a necessary and essential part of their life and love. If the age of technics is to be prolonged into the future it will be because society will have somehow succeeded in providing this sustaining motive; and we may even ask whether perhaps such a transcendental reason for their recent work has not been present in some measure all the time. Should we have been able to proceed as far as we have towards a mechanized economy, unless men felt, even if vaguely, dimly, and uncer­tainly, that our society was doing something great in this age of progress, and that the technical miracles were themselves, in some sort, a collective achievement worthy of human life and love? Perhaps even the machine workers have more than half believed that in this phase of history men were doing what men are for—not indeed doing it well enough, nor un­mixed with baser purposes, yet on the whole giving expression to some­thing inherent in Man and his world-position-—fulfilling a possibility that ought to be fulfilled.

For the masses have not been left in ignorance of what has been hap­pening. At least they know that the great navigators, astronomers, and geographers have combined to discover the whole planet, and that the engineers have linked all its parts together in systems of transport; the attainment of flight and of wireless communication and many other achievements are not only well known even to the least instructed factory hand; they do also furnish a world spectacle at which he is assisting, in however humble a capacity. The consciousness of every man has been affected powerfully by this transformation of Man's world, and there seems no doubt that he has felt its greatness and believed, with whatever reservations, that it must be right and true to the cosmic scheme of things that man has attained and is exercising such powers. That may be a judgement of pride, of course—far too much of such pride has gone before our present fall—but is not this pride the defect of a better quality, also present in some degree? Dare we assert that the feelings which have enabled ordinary mankind to co-operate in this world-metamorphosis have not had one of their deepest sources in a kind of reverence and awe?

It is at bottom untrue, I would submit, that the mighty works of this civilization, the uses it has made of its material power, have come about through the predatory instinct, the profit-seeking motive or the lust for wealth and comfort of Economic Man. All these psychic forces have operated for millennia; have played their part in previous cultures and helped to wreck them. But the recent transfiguration of Man's world is, as much as any previous culture, an attainment of spiritual significance, made possible by certain material conditions, but inspired, in all its most creative moments, by a wonder akin to worship not only of the powers within the human intellect (which had found anew application and ex­pression) but also of the infinity and variety of the created universe. As the mind of Man was applied, with a new discipline and method, to the perception of Nature, it was as though Nature responded with self-revela­tion: to seek thus earnestly was to find much more than one sought. In the great European scientists and naturalists up to and including the early nineteenth century, there is to be found such a love of the creation, united with such intelligence, modesty, and finely schooled perception, as is recorded of no other place or time: it is a spirit that still worthily reflects and continues the great philosophic tradition of the West. As the growing body of knowledge that these men founded was exploited for more and more narrowly practical ends, something of their sublime afflatus was also transmitted, popularized and largely vulgarized, but still it was the meaning and the soul of the Age of Science. In so far as this spirit may have departed, the very meaning of •what we are doing is misconceived. When men began to tell one another, and even to believe, that this scientific revelation grew out of the mere search for profit and comfort, they lied to themselves, inverted the true relation of cause and effect, and also per­verted the character of their own activity, with disastrous results. For the process of exploiting Nature, carried on with such powerful means, threat­ens the heritage of the entire race; and by the same process men intensify their competition for the sources of life to the point at which mutual extermination begins to appear as a logical—or even a biological—neces­sity. These tragic degradations of an Age of Science would have been impossible if its development had been directed in the spirit of the great scientists by whose work it was initiated.

Our collective error is not that we have too much worshipped Science: rather it might be said that we never worshipped Science half enough. The worst consequence of the deplorable controversy between Science and Religion during the last century is not that it weakened religion but that it left science vulgarized. The natural reverence of Man before the miracles of Mind and Nature—although that sentiment remained a half-conscious motive and force in scientific activity—began to be repressed as an irrelevance which the scientific spirit must discard, with much else, as mere emotional instability or mental immaturity. It is a pity we should so have belittled our own works by thus disconnecting them from their source in the human soul. The immense railways and bridges, the great swift ships, the flying machines and radio communications of this age are as great in their own way as the pyramids of Egypt, the temples and dramas of Greece, the cathedrals of Christendom in theirs. These are all we shall have to show at the last judgement as the collective attainments of our age, and in greatness of conception, devotion in execution, they can hardly be held unworthy, still less in the team work and co-operation, the wide international interchange of gifts, that have gone to their making. So far as they are condemned, it must be for the widely prevalent uncon­sciousness of their quality and purpose, due to false reflections upon essen­tial motives, which has to so great an extent perverted their purpose and corrupted their use. In truth Man never had a good idea, scientific or otherwise, because he wanted to be richer, or in order to make himself more comfortable, individually or collectively. Not desire, not even neces­sity was ever the mother of invention, though necessity may have been stepmother to some inventions. Ideas are born from love—love of the wonders of Nature or of the human mind. Sometimes they are also useful, but they only continue to be so while we remember that their source is more important than any particular idea or any use which may be made of it. If we have failed to cultivate, discipline, and direct this affection of the soul from which research and invention spring, it is largely because the very existence of it has not been recognized. Here is the deepest cause of the dilemma of a civilization of technics, of its ignorance what to do with its brilliant abilities. For in the first and last analysis, there is nothing to do with them, except to dedicate them to the Source whence they come.

A superabundance of energy at disposal is the ultimate problem of every successful society, unless, as in that of the Eskimos, the struggle with natural conditions absorbs all its strength. The tendency to exploit the enhanced powers of an improving society for the pursuit of power-fan­tasies is the greatest of social dangers; and a main function of religion in society has always been to canalize the excess of energies, spiritual, psychic, and physical, into worship of the majesty and mystery of their origin; for worship not only inspires men to great collective works of no utilitarian value, but also to innumerable useful and creative occupations of every kind of value and refinement. An age in which the physical energies of society are multiplied many times over could only escape an extraordinary crisis if the spiritual function of worship were correspond­ingly magnified, and unhappily, we live in the former of these conditions without the benefit of the latter: hence a marked and unlooked-for ten­dency towards brutalization.

Chapter from Prospect for Christendom: Essays in Catholic Social Reconstruction, Maurice Reckitt (ed), Faber and Faber (1945/6)

COMMENT: Part 3 to follow.